Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2310
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13
DL 2310 · LGA → RSW
departs 3:53 PM ET · arrives 7:03 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 54h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Thu 11/12 65%
Fri 11/13
Sun 11/15 32%
Mon 11/16 38%
Tue 11/17 39%
Odds over time
Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?
58%
chance · ±10 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
58%
Leave 15+ late
64%
Arrive 1h+ late
22%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed – in 24h
–
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Leave LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed – in 24h
–
64%
Yes 64%
No 36%
Arrive at RSW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to RSW?
On time or early
41%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 0.7 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at LGA that day
↑
LGA is prone to delays
↑
3pm departures from LGA are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at RSW
↓
LGA is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
LGA (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 0.7 mi Precip 0.39 in
RSW (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.