Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2349
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12
DL 2349 · LGA → MSP
departs 2:55 PM ET · arrives 5:06 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 61h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 19%
Wed 11/11 10%
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 42%
Sat 11/14 21%
Sun 11/15 32%
Mon 11/16 34%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±12 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed – in 24h
–
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed – in 24h
–
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at MSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MSP?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
LGA is prone to delays
↑
2pm departures from LGA are often late
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at LGA that day
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
LGA (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.38 in
MSP (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 4,400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.