Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2520
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12 Tomorrow
DL 2520 · LGA → MCO
departs 4:07 PM ET · arrives 6:48 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 30%
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 58%
Sat 11/14 25%
Sun 11/15 42%
Mon 11/16 49%
Tue 11/17 40%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
81%
chance · ±12 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
81%
Leave 15+ late
66%
Arrive 1h+ late
33%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
81%
Yes 81%
No 19%
Leave LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
66%
Yes 66%
No 34%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
18%
15–30 min late
28%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
19%
Over 2 hours late
13%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at LGA that day
↑
4pm departures from LGA are often late
↑
LGA is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO
↓
Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LGA (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.56 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.