Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2520
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13
DL 2520 · LGA → MCO
departs 4:07 PM ET · arrives 6:45 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 AM ET · 53h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 29%
Thu 11/12 81%
Fri 11/13
Sat 11/14 25%
Sun 11/15 42%
Mon 11/16 49%
Tue 11/17 40%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
58%
chance · ±7 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
58%
Leave 15+ late
60%
Arrive 1h+ late
25%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed – in 24h
–
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Leave LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed – in 24h
–
60%
Yes 60%
No 40%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
42%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
12%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 0.7 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at LGA that day
↑
LGA is prone to delays
↑
4pm departures from LGA are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO
↓
LGA is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
LGA (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 0.7 mi Precip 0.39 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.