Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2679
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12
DL 2679 · PHL → MSP
departs 3:02 PM ET · arrives 4:44 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 3:00 AM ET · 60h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 12%
Wed 11/11 10%
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 22%
Sat 11/14 16%
Sun 11/15 26%
Mon 11/16 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed – in 24h
–
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed – in 24h
–
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at MSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MSP?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
3pm departures from PHL are often late
↑
PHL is prone to delays
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at PHL that day
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PHL (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 4,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.26 in
MSP (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 4,400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.