Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 3113
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12 Today
DL 3113 · CVG → MSP
departs 4:30 PM ET · arrives 5:32 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 3:00 PM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 11/13 13%
Sat 11/14 11%
Sun 11/15 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±0 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave CVG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at MSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to MSP?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into MSP at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
DL's recent on-time record
↓
CVG usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP
Weather at each end
CVG (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 1,833 ft Visibility 9.66667 mi Precip none
MSP (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.