Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 360 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, November 12 Tomorrow

DL 360 · DCA → ATL

departs 4:00 PM ET · arrives 6:06 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 30h before departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±5 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ATL?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at DCA that day

↑ 4pm departures from DCA are often late

↓ Gusts to 25 kt forecast at ATL that day

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.12 in

ATL (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 360 · DCA → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?