Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 776 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, November 12

DL 776 · BOS → MIA

departs 3:15 PM ET · arrives 6:58 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 AM ET · 56h before departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±16 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MIA?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from BOS are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 1,200 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at BOS that day

↑ Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late

↓ Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling1,200 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.26 in

MIA (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 776 · BOS → MIA

Odds over time

How late will it get to MIA?