Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 969 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, November 12 Tomorrow

DL 969 · LGA → ATL

departs 4:00 PM ET · arrives 7:07 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 9:00 AM ET · 31h before departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

54% chance · ±16 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ATL?

On time or early
45%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
24%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 900 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at LGA that day

↑ 4pm departures from LGA are often late

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↓ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.56 in

ATL (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 969 · LGA → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?