Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 969 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, November 13

DL 969 · LGA → ATL

departs 4:00 PM ET · arrives 7:07 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 9:00 AM ET · 55h before departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±7 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ATL?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 0.7 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at LGA that day

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ 4pm departures from LGA are often late

↓ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility0.7 mi Precip0.39 in

ATL (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 969 · LGA → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?