Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5026
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12 Tomorrow
OO 5026 · ORD → JST
departs 9:50 PM CT · arrives 12:45 AM ET
Forecast issued Wed 3:00 AM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 25%
Sat 11/14 35%
Sun 11/15 44%
Mon 11/16 30%
Tue 11/17 33%
Odds over time
Arrive at JST more than 15 minutes late?
34%
chance · ±2 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
34%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
7.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JST more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at JST more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to JST?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
9pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at JST that day
↑
This flight has been late 35% of the time recently
↓
Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
JST usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
JST (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip 0.16 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.