Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5026
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13
OO 5026 · ORD → JST
departs 9:50 PM CT · arrives 12:45 AM ET
Forecast issued Wed 3:00 AM ET · 68h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Thu 11/12 34%
Fri 11/13
Sat 11/14 35%
Sun 11/15 44%
Mon 11/16 30%
Tue 11/17 33%
Odds over time
Arrive at JST more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
7.0d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JST more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed – in 24h
–
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed – in 24h
–
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at JST more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to JST?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
9pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 1,167 ft forecast at JST that day
↑
This flight has been late 35% of the time recently
↓
JST usually runs smoothly
↓
Fridays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 4,600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
JST (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 1,167 ft Visibility 9.66667 mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.