Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5419
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12 Tomorrow
OO 5419 · SBP → SFO
departs 6:37 PM PT · arrives 7:51 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 84%
Sun 11/15 43%
Mon 11/16 38%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±10 pts
+12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
22%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave SBP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
SBP is quiet at that time
↓
Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SBP (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
SFO (destination)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.