OO 5457 · SLC → SFO

departs 6:45 PM MT · arrives 7:57 PM PT

Forecast issued Thu 3:00 AM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±17 pts +17 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SFO?

On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
13%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 45% of the time recently

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↓ Visibility down to 1 mi forecast at SLC that day

↓ SLC usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

SLC (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility4 mi Precipnone

SFO (destination) Gusts32 kt Ceiling9,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5457 · SLC → SFO

Odds over time

How late will it get to SFO?