Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5457
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13
OO 5457 · SLC → SFO
departs 6:45 PM MT · arrives 7:53 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 67h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 11/12 28%
Fri 11/13
Sun 11/15 39%
Mon 11/16 37%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
87%
chance · ±12 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
87%
Leave 15+ late
73%
Arrive 1h+ late
75%
Cancelled
17%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed – in 24h
–
87%
Yes 87%
No 13%
Leave SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed – in 24h
–
73%
Yes 73%
No 27%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
75%
Yes 75%
No 25%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
11%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
46%
Cancelled
17%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 44 kt, 0.7 in of rain forecast at SFO that day
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late
↓
SLC usually runs smoothly
↓
Fridays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SLC (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SFO (destination)
Gusts 38 kt Ceiling 2,400 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.82 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.