Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5534
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12 Tomorrow
OO 5534 · RDM → SFO
departs 7:39 PM PT · arrives 9:27 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 77%
Sun 11/15 34%
Mon 11/16 41%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
48%
chance · ±9 pts
+15 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
48%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
30%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Leave RDM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
21%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↑
Gusts to 28 kt, cloud base down to 400 ft forecast at SFO that day
↓
Gusts to 26 kt forecast at RDM that day
↓
RDM usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
RDM (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SFO (destination)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.