Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5534
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13
OO 5534 · RDM → SFO
departs 7:39 PM PT · arrives 9:27 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 56h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 11/12 48%
Fri 11/13
Sun 11/15 34%
Mon 11/16 41%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
77%
chance · ±12 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
77%
Leave 15+ late
75%
Arrive 1h+ late
75%
Cancelled
22%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed – in 24h
–
77%
Yes 77%
No 23%
Leave RDM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed – in 24h
–
75%
Yes 75%
No 25%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
75%
Yes 75%
No 25%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
18%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
23%
Over 2 hours late
35%
Cancelled
22%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 38 kt, 0.6 in of rain forecast at SFO that day
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late
↓
RDM usually runs smoothly
↓
Fridays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
RDM (origin)
Gusts 36 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.09 in
SFO (destination)
Gusts 37 kt Ceiling 2,400 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.82 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.