Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5572
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12 Tomorrow
OO 5572 · SBA → SFO
departs 6:28 PM PT · arrives 7:52 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 9:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 23%
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 91%
Sun 11/15 43%
Mon 11/16 41%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±11 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 57%
Leave SBA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Gusts to 26 kt forecast at SFO that day
Weather at each end
SBA (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 4,967 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
SFO (destination)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.