Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5572
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13
OO 5572 · SBA → SFO
departs 6:29 PM PT · arrives 7:53 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 9:00 AM ET · 60h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 23%
Thu 11/12 42%
Fri 11/13
Sun 11/15 43%
Mon 11/16 41%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
91%
chance · ±12 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
91%
Leave 15+ late
80%
Arrive 1h+ late
75%
Cancelled
22%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed – in 24h
–
91%
Yes 91%
No 9%
Leave SBA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed – in 24h
–
80%
Yes 80%
No 20%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
75%
Yes 75%
No 25%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
7%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
30%
Over 2 hours late
28%
Cancelled
22%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 38 kt, 0.9 in of rain forecast at SFO that day
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late
↓
Fridays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SBA (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 2,533 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.70 in
SFO (destination)
Gusts 38 kt Ceiling 2,600 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.65 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.