OO 5709 · EUG → SFO

departs 4:25 PM PT · arrives 6:11 PM PT

Forecast issued Thu 1:00 AM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±7 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SFO?

On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 54% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late

↓ Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at EUG that day

Weather at each end

EUG (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.3 mi Precipnone

SFO (destination) Gusts29 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5709 · EUG → SFO

Odds over time

How late will it get to SFO?