Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5709 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, November 13

OO 5709 · EUG → SFO

departs 4:26 PM PT · arrives 6:06 PM PT

Forecast issued Thu 1:00 AM ET · 42h before departure

Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?

86% chance · ±8 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SFO?

On time or early
12%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
22%
Over 2 hours late
41%
Cancelled
16%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 37 kt, 0.6 in of rain forecast at SFO that day

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late

↓ Fridays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ EUG usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

EUG (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.39 in

SFO (destination) Gusts37 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.61 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5709 · EUG → SFO

Odds over time

How late will it get to SFO?