Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6515
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12 Tomorrow
OO 6515 · LAX → ABQ
departs 8:55 PM PT · arrives 12:05 AM MT
Forecast issued Wed 5:00 AM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 8%
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 37%
Sat 11/14 18%
Sun 11/15 24%
Mon 11/16 18%
Tue 11/17 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±2 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
7.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at ABQ more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ABQ?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
8pm departures from LAX are often late
↑
LAX is busy at that time
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ABQ
↓
Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
ABQ (destination)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.