Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6515
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13
OO 6515 · LAX → ABQ
departs 8:54 PM PT · arrives 12:05 AM MT
Forecast issued Wed 5:00 AM ET · 67h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 8%
Thu 11/12 15%
Fri 11/13
Sat 11/14 18%
Sun 11/15 24%
Mon 11/16 18%
Tue 11/17 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±8 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
7.0d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed – in 24h
–
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at ABQ more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ABQ?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at LAX that day
↑
8pm departures from LAX are often late
↑
LAX is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ABQ
↓
Fridays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 3,867 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.26 in
ABQ (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.