tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1227 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 1227 · EWR → SFO

departs 1:30 PM ET · arrives 4:28 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 42h before departure
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
51% chance · ±7 pts +10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 6.6d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to SFO?

  1. On time or early
    48%
  2. 15–30 min late
    13%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    17%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    9%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    12%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.