Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1704
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12 Tomorrow
WN 1704 · DEN → MIA
departs 1:40 PM MT · arrives 7:23 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 7:00 AM ET · 33h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 40%
Sun 11/15 45%
Mon 11/16 40%
Odds over time
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
48%
chance · ±7 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
48%
Leave 15+ late
45%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Arrive at MIA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MIA?
On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
29%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late
↑
MIA is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN
↓
Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MIA (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.