Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1758
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12 Tomorrow
WN 1758 · MDW → CMH
departs 2:37 PM CT · arrives 4:58 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 AM ET · 29h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 22%
Sat 11/14 20%
Sun 11/15 27%
Mon 11/16 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±5 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at CMH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CMH?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Gusts to 29 kt forecast at MDW that day
↑
2pm departures from MDW are often late
↓
CMH usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MDW (origin)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.11 in
CMH (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.14 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.