Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1758
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13
WN 1758 · MDW → CMH
departs 2:35 PM CT · arrives 4:55 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 AM ET · 53h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 11/12 27%
Fri 11/13
Sat 11/14 20%
Sun 11/15 27%
Mon 11/16 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±0 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed – in 24h
–
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed – in 24h
–
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at CMH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CMH?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
2pm departures from MDW are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
MDW usually runs smoothly
↓
CMH usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MDW (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 4,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
CMH (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 1,033 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.