WN 1761 · FAT → DEN

departs 1:20 PM PT · arrives 4:45 PM MT

Forecast issued Thu 9:00 AM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±0 pts −15 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ FAT is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

FAT (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1761 · FAT → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?