WN 2571 · LGA → MCI

departs 3:29 PM ET · arrives 5:37 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?

84% chance · ±7 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MCI?

On time or early
15%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
26%
Over 2 hours late
14%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,133 ft, 0.7 in of rain forecast at LGA that day

↑ 3pm departures from LGA are often late

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↓ Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ MCI usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling1,167 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.71 in

MCI (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2571 · LGA → MCI

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCI?