Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2571
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13 Tomorrow
WN 2571 · LGA → MCI
departs 3:27 PM ET · arrives 5:37 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 84%
Fri 11/13
Sun 11/15 37%
Mon 11/16 48%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
63%
chance · ±6 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
63%
Leave 15+ late
65%
Arrive 1h+ late
26%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
63%
Yes 63%
No 37%
Leave LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
65%
Yes 65%
No 35%
Arrive at MCI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to MCI?
On time or early
36%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
13%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 0.2 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at LGA that day
↑
LGA is prone to delays
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCI
↓
Fridays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LGA (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip 0.35 in
MCI (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.