Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2648
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12 Tomorrow
WN 2648 · DCA → CMH
departs 3:51 PM ET · arrives 5:17 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 46%
Sun 11/15 42%
Mon 11/16 36%
Odds over time
Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?
51%
chance · ±7 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
51%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Leave DCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at CMH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CMH?
On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
25%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
3pm departures from DCA are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
CMH usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DCA (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.12 in
CMH (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.14 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.