Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2688
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12 Tomorrow
WN 2688 · OMA → DCA
departs 2:26 PM CT · arrives 6:11 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 39%
Sun 11/15 39%
Mon 11/16 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±2 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
36%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave OMA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Arrive at DCA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DCA?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into DCA at that hour are often late
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at OMA
↓
OMA usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
OMA (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DCA (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 1,900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.09 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.