Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2787
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12 Tomorrow
WN 2787 · PHX → CLE
departs 1:47 PM MT · arrives 7:27 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 9:00 AM ET · 31h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 37%
Sun 11/15 35%
Mon 11/16 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±2 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 45% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at CLE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CLE?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 1,300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at CLE that day
↑
1pm departures from PHX are often late
↓
CLE usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
CLE (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.39 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.