Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2787
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13
WN 2787 · PHX → CLE
departs 1:47 PM MT · arrives 7:38 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 54h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 11/12 39%
Fri 11/13
Sun 11/15 35%
Mon 11/16 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
51%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed – in 24h
–
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 45% · changed – in 24h
–
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Arrive at CLE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed – in 24h
–
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CLE?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
1pm departures from PHX are often late
↑
This flight has been late 32% of the time recently
↓
CLE usually runs smoothly
↓
Fridays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
CLE (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 7.66667 mi Precip 0.07 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.