WN 2923 · DCA → BNA

departs 3:36 PM ET · arrives 4:32 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 12:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±0 pts −12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BNA?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ 3pm departures from DCA are often late

↑ Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late

↓ Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling3,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BNA (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2923 · DCA → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?