Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3232
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12 Tomorrow
WN 3232 · LGA → DEN
departs 5:03 PM ET · arrives 7:08 PM MT
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 62%
Sun 11/15 50%
Mon 11/16 59%
Tue 11/17 47%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
73%
chance · ±8 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
73%
Leave 15+ late
71%
Arrive 1h+ late
36%
Cancelled
5%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
73%
Yes 73%
No 27%
Leave LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
71%
Yes 71%
No 29%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
25%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
24%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.6 in of rain forecast at LGA that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
5pm departures from LGA are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN
↓
Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LGA (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 1,700 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.55 in
DEN (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.