Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3232
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13
WN 3232 · LGA → DEN
departs 5:05 PM ET · arrives 7:12 PM MT
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 66h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Thu 11/12 73%
Fri 11/13
Sun 11/15 50%
Mon 11/16 59%
Tue 11/17 47%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
64%
chance · ±11 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
64%
Leave 15+ late
64%
Arrive 1h+ late
22%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed – in 24h
–
64%
Yes 64%
No 36%
Leave LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 45% · changed – in 24h
–
64%
Yes 64%
No 36%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
36%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
5pm departures from LGA are often late
↑
LGA is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN
↓
DEN usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
LGA (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 2,300 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.25 in
DEN (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.