WN 3445 · MCI → BOS

departs 1:11 PM CT · arrives 5:15 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

60% chance · ±4 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BOS?

On time or early
40%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
25%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 467 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at BOS that day

↑ Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ MCI usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCI

Weather at each end

MCI (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BOS (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling467 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.16 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3445 · MCI → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?