Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3445
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13
WN 3445 · MCI → BOS
departs 1:11 PM CT · arrives 5:15 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 11/12 60%
Fri 11/13
Sun 11/15 25%
Mon 11/16 32%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
66%
chance · ±5 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
66%
Leave 15+ late
61%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
66%
Yes 66%
No 34%
Leave MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
61%
Yes 61%
No 39%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
34%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
30%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at BOS that day
↑
Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
MCI usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCI
Weather at each end
MCI (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
BOS (destination)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip 0.45 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.