WN 3476 · SJC → GEG

departs 1:13 PM PT · arrives 3:18 PM PT

Your aircraft is N8913S (B38M), coming in as WN 403 from LAS: in the air, landing about 12:13 PM PT, 55 min before departure.

Forecast issued Thu 1:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at GEG more than 15 minutes late?

57% chance · ±0 pts +35 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to GEG?

On time or early
43%
15–30 min late
43%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↑ Other factors

↓ Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into GEG at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

SJC (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling9,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

GEG (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility0.3 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3476 · SJC → GEG

Odds over time

How late will it get to GEG?