Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 432
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12 Tomorrow
WN 432 · LGA → MDW
departs 3:02 PM ET · arrives 4:16 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 39h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 56%
Sat 11/14 26%
Sun 11/15 43%
Mon 11/16 50%
Odds over time
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
78%
chance · ±7 pts
+10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
78%
Leave 15+ late
62%
Arrive 1h+ late
41%
Cancelled
5%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
78%
Yes 78%
No 22%
Leave LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
62%
Yes 62%
No 38%
Arrive at MDW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to MDW?
On time or early
21%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
21%
Over 2 hours late
17%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.6 in of rain forecast at LGA that day
↑
LGA is prone to delays
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
MDW usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LGA (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 1,600 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.55 in
MDW (destination)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.