Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4610
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12 Tomorrow
WN 4610 · HOU → PIT
departs 2:42 PM CT · arrives 6:37 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 9:00 AM ET · 31h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 33%
Sun 11/15 34%
Mon 11/16 34%
Odds over time
Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±2 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at PIT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PIT?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
2pm departures from HOU are often late
↑
This flight has been late 27% of the time recently
↓
PIT usually runs smoothly
↓
Visibility down to 1 mi forecast at HOU that day
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 13 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 3 mi
Precip none
PIT (destination)
Gusts 19 kt
Ceiling 700 ft
Visibility 2 mi
Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.