Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4610
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13 Tomorrow
WN 4610 · HOU → PIT
departs 2:42 PM CT · arrives 6:32 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 AM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 38%
Fri 11/13
Sun 11/15 34%
Mon 11/16 34%
Odds over time
Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±1 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 40% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at PIT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PIT?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
2pm departures from HOU are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at HOU
↓
Fridays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
PIT (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 1,967 ft Visibility 6.33333 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.