Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 608
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12
WN 608 · BNA → LGA
departs 2:11 PM CT · arrives 5:35 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 66h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 56%
Tue 11/10 33%
Wed 11/11 22%
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 57%
Sat 11/14 26%
Sun 11/15 40%
Odds over time
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
60%
chance · ±19 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
60%
Leave 15+ late
53%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed – in 24h
–
60%
Yes 60%
No 40%
Leave BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed – in 24h
–
53%
Yes 53%
No 47%
Arrive at LGA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to LGA?
On time or early
39%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA
↑
Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA
Weather at each end
BNA (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
LGA (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.17 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.