Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1094 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, November 13

AA 1094 · RSW → CLT

departs 2:32 PM ET · arrives 4:33 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 7:00 AM ET · 56h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 2pm departures from RSW are often late

↑ Arrivals into CLT at that hour are often late

↓ Fridays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RSW

Weather at each end

RSW (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CLT (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1094 · RSW → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?