Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1154SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 1154 · MIA → SDQ
departs 12:27 PM ET · arrives 3:46 PM AST
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 40h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SDQ more than 15 minutes late?
27%chance · ±0 pts−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to SDQ?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.