tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1402 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 1402 · MIA → PHL

departs 2:51 PM ET · arrives 5:52 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 3:00 AM ET · 60h before departure
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
37% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.6d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to PHL?

  1. On time or early
    63%
  2. 15–30 min late
    8%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    16%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    8%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    5%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.