Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1735 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, November 13

AA 1735 · CLT → GRR

departs 2:42 PM ET · arrives 4:37 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 3:00 AM ET · 60h before departure

Arrive at GRR more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to GRR?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 2pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Fridays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

GRR (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling4,400 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1735 · CLT → GRR

Odds over time

How late will it get to GRR?