tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1868 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 1868 · SAN → MIA

departs 11:47 AM PT · arrives 7:33 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 59h before departure
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
42% chance · ±7 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 6.6d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MIA?

  1. On time or early
    57%
  2. 15–30 min late
    21%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    10%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    7%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.