Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2328 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, November 13 Tomorrow

AA 2328 · LGA → MIA

departs 3:35 PM ET · arrives 6:30 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 2:00 AM ET · 38h before departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

63% chance · ±11 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MIA?

On time or early
37%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at LGA that day

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ 3pm departures from LGA are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MIA

↓ LGA is quiet at that time

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.46 in

MIA (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2328 · LGA → MIA

Odds over time

How late will it get to MIA?